Texas U.S. SenateTalarico(D)+1.6North Carolina U.S. SenateCooper(D)+11.4Georgia U.S. SenateOssoff(D)+8.4Michigan U.S. SenateEl-Sayed(D)+3.5Maine U.S. SenateTroy Jackson+2Texas U.S. SenateTalarico(D)+1.6North Carolina U.S. SenateCooper(D)+11.4Georgia U.S. SenateOssoff(D)+8.4Michigan U.S. SenateEl-Sayed(D)+3.5Maine U.S. SenateTroy Jackson+2
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The Breakdown
The trend line between the polls.
Our read on where the races stand, field memos, methodology, and what the crosstabs actually say. No hot takes, just the work.
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Field Memo · Oct 23, 2026
Kentucky's 4th District is a one-point race.
A FactsDriven survey of 600 likely voters finds Ed Gallrein and Melissa Strange within a point of each other in a district Trump won by 36. Gallrein has not locked down the right, and independents prefer Strange.
4 min readRead
Field Notes · Jun 19, 2026
Why we built FactsDriven.
2 min readRead
The Breakdown
Our read on where the races stand, in your inbox. The trend line between the polls.